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For extraordinary remembrances
Advertising Agency: Astos Dizainas McCann Erickson, Vilnius, Lithuania
Creative Director: Simonas Tarvydas
Art Director: Ignas Kozlovas
Copywriter: Simonas Tarvydas
Photographer: Ciklopas
Published: September 2011
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The Greek cabinet is expected to approve a plan to layoff public sector workers, and approve a draft of its next budget today. But the process has been slowed down by protests across the nation.
Alexander Dobridnt, an official from Angela Merkel's coalition, said that for Greece to be economically stable again, it needs to exit the Eurozone, at least temporarily.
Now Societe Generale has proposed 3 possible scenarios for Greece:
First, it could make changes to private sector involvement (PSI). As of now, PSI assumes 90% participation rate for 10% haircut on bonds maturing in 2020. This creates cuts of only €13.5 billion through debt exchange and €12.6 billion from bond buybacks, a total about 11.6% of GDP which is a drop in the bucket compared with the nation's public debt of 160% of GDP. So a few options include:
Secondly, the EU and IMF could refuse to release the next tranche of loans and Greece could be forced to leave the Eurozone, which could have a total impact of about 25% of GDP. The immediate impact would be a partial government shutdown, more protests that would impact the economy, an increase in its deficit and a "drachmaisation as the government IOUs would de-facto become a new currency, albeit a very severely devalued and not very readily accepted one."
Finally, Greece could choose to default and be forced to leave the Eurozone and the EU. Though this doesn't seem to be an immediate risk.
For now, other than adjustments to private sector involvement, there could be a privatization fund that would sell Greek assets and use the money to reduce Greek debt, though privatization has already proved unpopular in Greece. Another solution is an increase in assistance from EU structural funds, which would be better than a default on Euro tax payers. And finally, interest rates on funding to Greece could be lowered.
Don't Miss: Here's Who Will Get Slammed If Greece Goes Bust >
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Join the conversation about this story »
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Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/businessinsider/~3/z14OMubSNxI/eurozone-greece-default-2011-10
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The Greek cabinet is expected to approve a plan to layoff public sector workers, and approve a draft of its next budget today. But the process has been slowed down by protests across the nation.
Alexander Dobridnt, an official from Angela Merkel's coalition, said that for Greece to be economically stable again, it needs to exit the Eurozone, at least temporarily.
Now Societe Generale has proposed 3 possible scenarios for Greece:
First, it could make changes to private sector involvement (PSI). As of now, PSI assumes 90% participation rate for 10% haircut on bonds maturing in 2020. This creates cuts of only €13.5 billion through debt exchange and €12.6 billion from bond buybacks, a total about 11.6% of GDP which is a drop in the bucket compared with the nation's public debt of 160% of GDP. So a few options include:
Secondly, the EU and IMF could refuse to release the next tranche of loans and Greece could be forced to leave the Eurozone, which could have a total impact of about 25% of GDP. The immediate impact would be a partial government shutdown, more protests that would impact the economy, an increase in its deficit and a "drachmaisation as the government IOUs would de-facto become a new currency, albeit a very severely devalued and not very readily accepted one."
Finally, Greece could choose to default and be forced to leave the Eurozone and the EU. Though this doesn't seem to be an immediate risk.
For now, other than adjustments to private sector involvement, there could be a privatization fund that would sell Greek assets and use the money to reduce Greek debt, though privatization has already proved unpopular in Greece. Another solution is an increase in assistance from EU structural funds, which would be better than a default on Euro tax payers. And finally, interest rates on funding to Greece could be lowered.
Don't Miss: Here's Who Will Get Slammed If Greece Goes Bust >
Please follow Money Game on Twitter and Facebook.
Join the conversation about this story »
See Also:
Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/businessinsider/~3/z14OMubSNxI/eurozone-greece-default-2011-10
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